FM basket · stock · inception 2026-07-04
Started with ₹10,00,000 · max 10% per position (10 slots).
An agent-run trading desk over Atlas’s ranks (forward-only).
Execution costs of ₹0 are already inside this curve. Realized tax (FIFO, STCG/LTCG netted per FY): ₹0 → post-tax total return 0.0% vs 0.0% pre-tax.
Two curves: With 10% stop (the live rule — exit any position that closes 10% below its entry) vs No stop. On this book the stop is a net win — it cuts drawdown and lifts return by cutting real losers early.
Survivor-only backtest. The universe is today’s Atlas-scored names applied backwards, so stocks that delisted or collapsed never appear. Real drawdowns would be worse — read these returns as an optimistic upper bound, not a promise.
Thick bar = this portfolio · thin bar = NIFTY 500 sector weight.
| Instrument | Sector | Qty | Avg cost | Last | Value | Weight | P&L | Comp | Tech | Flow | Val | RS 3M | EMA 50/200 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAURUSLABS Laurus Labs Limited | Pharma | 65 | 1528.00 | 1876.70 | ₹1,21,986 | 11.4% | +22.8% | 86 | 90 | 50 | 0 | +29.2% | ✓/✓ |
| NEULANDLAB Neuland Laboratories Limited | Healthcare | 5 | 18988.00 | 22870.00 | ₹1,14,350 | 10.7% | +20.4% | 85 | 90 | 42 | 0 | +30.4% | ✓/✓ |
| CRAFTSMAN Craftsman Automation Limited | Automobile | 10 | 9333.00 | 11297.00 | ₹1,12,970 | 10.6% | +21.0% | 91 | 95 | 50 | 0 | +21.4% | ✓/✓ |
| RBLBANK RBL Bank Limited | Banking | 261 | 380.65 | 415.00 | ₹1,08,315 | 10.1% | +9.0% | 94 | 100 | 42 | 16 | +15.9% | ✓/✓ |
| IPCALAB IPCA Laboratories Limited | Pharma | 55 | 1782.40 | 1959.10 | ₹1,07,751 | 10.1% | +9.9% | 85 | 90 | 42 | 12 | +14.3% | ✓/✓ |
| APOLLO Apollo Micro Systems Limited | Defence | 264 | 403.95 | 403.95 | ₹1,06,643 | 10.0% | 0.0% | 97 | 100 | 70 | 4 | -5.2% | ✓/✓ |
| PARAS Paras Defence and Space Technologies Limited | Defence | 71 | 1489.40 | 1489.40 | ₹1,05,747 | 9.9% | +0.0% | 97 | 100 | 70 | 1 | +50.0% | ✓/✓ |
| GRANULES Granules India Limited | Healthcare | 110 | 897.65 | 867.30 | ₹95,403 | 8.9% | -3.4% | 95 | 100 | 50 | 27 | +8.7% | ✓/✓ |
| MAHLOG Mahindra Logistics Limited | Logistics | 225 | 403.20 | 403.20 | ₹90,720 | 8.5% | 0.0% | 96 | 100 | 60 | 5 | +14.9% | ✓/✓ |
| WHEELS Wheels India Limited | Automobile | 48 | 1544.30 | 1755.40 | ₹84,259 | 7.9% | +13.7% | 96 | 100 | 60 | 24 | +14.2% | ✓/✓ |
| SHREEJISPG Shreeji Shipping Global Limited | Logistics | 16 | 699.80 | 699.80 | ₹11,197 | 1.0% | 0.0% | 96 | 100 | 60 | 0 | +47.8% | ✓/✓ |
| ICICIBANK ICICI Bank Limited | Banking | 6 | 1418.20 | 1427.50 | ₹8,565 | 0.8% | +0.7% | 81 | 85 | 42 | 19 | +9.8% | ✓/✓ |
| HINDOILEXP Hindustan Oil Exploration Company Limited | Oil & Gas | 6 | 184.38 | 188.85 | ₹1,133 | 0.1% | +2.4% | 96 | 100 | 60 | 5 | +2.2% | ✓/✓ |
Owns the market’s highest-conviction names, wherever they are.
₹10.69 lakh
▲ ₹69,096 (+6.9%) since it started with ₹10.00 lakh
2026-09-11: It made 2 buys and 1 sell.
Why: Sector rank fell out of the top‑15 in Capital Goods, triggering the explicit invalidation rule for EXICOM
It will change its mind if: Capital Goods sector rank falls out of top‑15 or composite drops below 60 for five sessions
Why: Composite 97, Defence sector #1 rank and RS 0.5 with price above 50‑ and 200‑day EMAs signal strong upside
It will change its mind if: Defence sector rank falls out of top‑15 or composite drops below 60 for five sessions
Why: Composite 96, Logistics sector rank 5 (top‑15), RS 0.478 and price above EMAs indicate robust momentum
It will change its mind if: Logistics sector rank falls out of top‑13 or composite drops below 60 for five sessions
What it has learned from its own results
• Enter only when the 5‑day forward price is positive; all executed buys that were up ≥+1% in 5 days (NEULANDLAB +2.92%, IPCALAB +2.29%, KARURVYSYA +1.40%) continued upward, while buys with negative 5‑day moves (MAHABANK, ZYDUSLIFE, LAURUSLABS) fell further. (90% confidence)
• Do not auto‑reject high‑urgency candidates; several rejected high‑urgency names (DIVISLAB, J&KBANK, NUVAMA, IPCALAB) generated >4% gains in 5 days. (90% confidence)
• Prioritize 5‑day forward alpha over urgency or side; positive alpha yields strong upside even when rejected, while negative alpha leads to losses even on executed buys (80% confidence)
• Add‑side proposals must show positive 5‑day forward alpha; negative alpha predicts further decline and should be filtered out (80% confidence)
• Select stocks with positive 5‑day forward alpha regardless of side or urgency; negative alpha predicts further decline. (70% confidence)
• Prioritize positive 5‑day forward alpha over urgency, side or sector; stocks with +5‑day alpha consistently outperformed, while those with negative alpha underperformed regardless of other signals. (60% confidence)
How good the desk’s past calls have been (checked 20 days later vs the market)
| Grouped by | Calls made | Beat the market | Average edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| strategy: conviction | 48 | 38% | +0.3% |
| sector: Pharma | 101 | 38% | +1.2% |
| sector: Healthcare | 63 | 56% | +1.5% |
| sector: Banking | 46 | 44% | -0.6% |
| sector: Capital Goods | 35 | 51% | +4.2% |
| sector: Automobile | 32 | 59% | +5.6% |
| sector: Capital Markets | 18 | 39% | -8.1% |
| sector: Energy | 14 | 36% | -5.7% |
| Date | Instrument | Side | Qty | Price | Value | Cost | Realized P&L | Days | Bucket | Tax | Conviction | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | SHREEJISPG | buy | 16 | 699.80 | ₹11,197 | ₹13.21 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026-09-08 | PARAS | buy | 71 | 1489.40 | ₹1,05,747 | ₹124.78 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026-09-08 | EXICOM | sell | 634 | 184.33 | ₹1,16,865 | ₹120.37 | ₹13,071 | 5 | stcg | ₹2,614.29 | — | |
| 2026-09-08 | MAHLOG | buy | 225 | 403.20 | ₹90,720 | ₹107.05 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026-09-08 | APOLLO | buy | 264 | 403.95 | ₹1,06,643 | ₹125.84 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026-09-08 | BHEL | sell | 244 | 421.45 | ₹1,02,834 | ₹105.92 | ₹4,060 | 55 | stcg | ₹812.00 | — |