FM basket · stock · inception 2026-07-04
Started with ₹10,00,000 · max 10% per position (10 slots).
An agent-run trading desk over Atlas’s ranks (forward-only).
Execution costs of ₹0 are already inside this curve. Realized tax (FIFO, STCG/LTCG netted per FY): ₹0 → post-tax total return 0.0% vs 0.0% pre-tax.
Two curves: With 10% stop (the live rule — exit any position that closes 10% below its entry) vs No stop. On this book the stop is a net win — it cuts drawdown and lifts return by cutting real losers early.
Survivor-only backtest. The universe is today’s Atlas-scored names applied backwards, so stocks that delisted or collapsed never appear. Real drawdowns would be worse — read these returns as an optimistic upper bound, not a promise.
Thick bar = this portfolio · thin bar = NIFTY 500 sector weight.
| Instrument | Sector | Qty | Avg cost | Last | Value | Weight | P&L | Comp | Tech | Flow | Val | RS 3M | EMA 50/200 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXICOM Exicom Tele-Systems Limited | Capital Goods | 623 | 166.13 | 184.33 | ₹1,14,838 | 11.0% | +11.0% | 97 | 100 | 70 | 0 | +18.0% | ✓/✓ |
| CRAFTSMAN Craftsman Automation Limited | Automobile | 10 | 9913.00 | 11297.00 | ₹1,12,970 | 10.8% | +14.0% | 91 | 95 | 50 | 0 | +21.4% | ✓/✓ |
| EMCURE Emcure Pharmaceuticals Limited | Pharma | 54 | 1926.80 | 1926.80 | ₹1,04,047 | 10.0% | 0.0% | 97 | 100 | 68 | 15 | +7.6% | ✓/✓ |
| SETL Standard Engineering Technology Limited | Capital Goods | 264 | 391.15 | 388.55 | ₹1,02,577 | 9.8% | -0.7% | 96 | 100 | 60 | 0 | +147.7% | ✓/✓ |
| INDNIPPON India Nippon Electricals Limited | Automobile | 46 | 1128.40 | 1128.40 | ₹51,906 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 96 | 100 | 60 | 40 | +23.0% | ✓/✓ |
Backs the strongest stocks inside the strongest sectors.
₹10.45 lakh
▲ ₹45,028 (+4.5%) since it started with ₹10.00 lakh
2026-09-11: It made 1 buy.
Why: Automobile sector remains a top‑3 leader with composite 96.0 and RS 0.23; adding INDNIPPON rides sector leadership and aligns with our high‑hit‑rate Automobile pocket (hit‑rate 0.594, avg α 5.61)
Safety net: if it drops to ₹1,104 the desk sells to cap the loss; it aims to take profit near ₹1,180.
It will change its mind if: Automobile sector composite <60 for 5 consecutive sessions or INDNIPPON falls out of sector top‑3
What it has learned from its own results
• Prioritize trades with positive 5‑day alpha and clear sector leadership; avoid adding stocks with negative alpha or ambiguous leadership. (80% confidence)
• Only add when the 5‑day alpha signal is positive; positive alpha has reliably preceded positive 5‑day returns (J&KBANK, KARURVYSYA, SUNPHARMA). (80% confidence)
• Take actions only on stocks with positive 5‑day alpha; negative alpha predicts poor forward performance. (70% confidence)
• Reject any add proposal that shows negative 5‑day alpha; such stocks have consistently produced negative 5‑day returns across sectors. (70% confidence)
• Prioritize trades with positive 5‑day alpha and avoid those with negative alpha; positive alpha led to large gains while negative alpha caused large losses. (60% confidence)
• Prioritize adding leaders in the Capital Goods sector when they show positive 5‑day alpha, as they have generated strong short‑term gains (RRKABEL buy +10.54% alpha). (60% confidence)
How good the desk’s past calls have been (checked 20 days later vs the market)
| Grouped by | Calls made | Beat the market | Average edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| strategy: sector leaders | 61 | 49% | +2.1% |
| sector: Pharma | 101 | 38% | +1.2% |
| sector: Healthcare | 63 | 56% | +1.5% |
| sector: Banking | 46 | 44% | -0.6% |
| sector: Capital Goods | 35 | 51% | +4.2% |
| sector: Automobile | 32 | 59% | +5.6% |
| sector: Capital Markets | 18 | 39% | -8.1% |
| sector: Energy | 14 | 36% | -5.7% |
| Date | Instrument | Side | Qty | Price | Value | Cost | Realized P&L | Days | Bucket | Tax | Conviction | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | INDNIPPON | buy | 46 | 1128.40 | ₹51,906 | ₹61.25 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026-09-08 | EMCURE | buy | 54 | 1926.80 | ₹1,04,047 | ₹122.78 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026-09-08 | JBMA | sell | 18 | 613.60 | ₹11,045 | ₹11.38 | ₹-1,193 | 39 | stcg | ₹0.00 | — | |
| 2026-09-08 | RBLBANK | sell | 275 | 415.00 | ₹1,14,125 | ₹117.55 | ₹14,120 | 60 | stcg | ₹2,823.94 | — | |
| 2026-09-08 | J&KBANK | sell | 609 | 147.88 | ₹90,059 | ₹92.76 | ₹-9,857 | 63 | stcg | ₹0.00 | — | |
| 2026-09-08 | ICICIBANK | sell | 69 | 1427.50 | ₹98,498 | ₹101.45 | ₹-1,378 | 50 | stcg | ₹0.00 | — |